Showing posts with label Herd Mentality. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Herd Mentality. Show all posts

Thursday, February 26, 2009

Intellectual Inbreeding: Corporate Free Traders

Here's an example of intellectual inbreeding. Although not the point, Wall Street and Bernanke by Dave Lindorff illustrates the flawed thinking of the corporate free trader crowd. Just like Marxists, this bunch began believing its own B.S. Its feedback did nothing but reinforce a flawed ideology of economic internationalism. It's interesting to note that both Marxist and "free trade" reacted similar: both grasped the remedies of its flawed rival.

Excerpt:
The same kind of analytical brilliance has been routinely ascribed by economic pundits to investors when it comes to business decisions--particularly mergers and acquisitions, or divestments and breakups. If Bank of America announces that it is going to buy the foundering Merrill Lynch and shares of B of A fall, then the merger is a bad idea. If the shares rise, it's a good idea. And so it goes.

The whole idea that a bunch of people who sit around at computer screens betting on stocks and eating cheese doodles all day really know much of anything, or that taking their herd responses collectively as some kind of delphic oracle has always seemed the height of folly to me. But if you really wanted proof that investors taken collectively are idiots, you could simply look at today's stock market. Yesterday, every index plunged by about 4%, pulling the overall market to lows not seen in 12 years, because of concerns that the recession was deepening, that the big banks were toast, and that the government's economic stimulus plan was not going to help much.

There was every reason to expect the downward trend to continue, but up stepped Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke, and, in a statement presented in Congress, said that in his considered view, the current recession could be over by the end of this year.

Relieved investors jumped back into the market and bought stocks, pushing the Dow and the S&P indexes back up by almost as much as they'd lost the day before.

But wait a minute! Isn't Ben Bernanke the same guy who was chair of the Fed last year and the year before? The same chair who completely failed to see the coming credit crisis and global financial collapse? And if that's the case, why on earth would investors take seriously anything he says about the future direction of the economy?
Why indeed? Maybe they're smoking a little too much hope?

The herd mentality can never be more than mediocre, and probably less. Anyone believing in its wisdom is a tool.

See also How the Economy was Lost by Paul Craig Roberts.

Wednesday, February 21, 2007

On This Modern Warrior Archetype Part Six.9.19

9q. A major flaw is the belief in the superiority of the herd mentality. As a result, the wisdom of the lowest common denominator prevails, and less becomes the predominant value. In this setting, those rising to the top are its mediocre products. By refusing the universal median, everyone else falls by the wayside. Those remaining are exceptional only in their lack of exceptionalism. Their world view is tarnished by the status quo. All the while mouthing platitudes, their morality is nothing but technical. The present is sought as eternal. Change is unseen. In their eyes, the world stands still. The highest orders are always squandered by stupidity.

Monday, February 12, 2007

On This Modern Warrior Archetype Part Six.9.15

9m. Megalomania is nothing new, but mass media allows its reach to be greatly extended. It may touch those susceptible to its delusions far more quicker and wider than would be possible otherwise. Shared media experiences allow for false perceptions of shared sacrifice. Relatively, the virtual and vicarious are therefore highly pliant. Although a minority, it’s drives will sometimes tip the balance. In the media realm, empire is the ultimate expression and aspiration for the herd. Fortunately and unfortunately, nothing really guides or cushions its inevitable stupidities. Systems can be upset by idiots. 

Sunday, November 19, 2006

On This Modern Warrior Archetype Part Six.8.14

8o. Standardization is necessary for the most efficient operation any technical system. Components must be compatible. Maximum Advantage, as stated previously, leads toward the application of technical efficiency toward all human affairs. As such, humans are encouraged and nominally rewarded by their degree of standardization. In many such instances, seeking normalization is a perfectly rational and completely unworkable. The result is dysfunctional. Yet, still many will attempt to tread the same impossible path to the point of no return. As a sure sign of intellectual inbreeding, reinforced by regularization, these sort call their stupidity optimism. Consequently, this habit is very difficult to break, and generally takes a disaster. At this stage, the herd mentality will be very susceptible to panic. Lest tragedy occur, This Modern Warrior Archetype must be ready to de-escalate and calm the situation. Constructive action must be advocated. Rebuilding is the most efficient means. As an incentive towards success, never forget that, one way or another, chaos is the surest route to tyranny.